Just the three live matches this weekend with no live football on the Saturday unfortunately. A double header of live matches on Sunday followed by the game of the weekend on Monday Night Football should give us plenty of good betting opportunities from the TV matches over the next few days though.
The early kick off on Sunday on as part of a Sky Sports 1 double header is Sunderland v Blackburn, a game which sees Sunderland’s new manager Martin O’Neill take charge of his new club for the first time against a team who could be sacking their manager before long. Sunderland are favourites being at home but they have won only once at the Stadium of Light all season. Blackburn are yet to win away this season but have drawn more often than they have lost. On previous form this looks a nailed on draw but previous form can go out of the window when a new manager arrives, so the draw still looks the most likely result at 5/2 but there is a chance of Sunderland winning at 10/11. The away win makes no appeal at all at 7/2.
The other game on Sunday sees a very much in form Spurs side travel to the Britannia Stadium to face Stoke. Often a hard place to go, the Britannia has been a happy hunting ground for Spurs recently with wins in their last two Premiership games at Stoke. There was also a 0-0 draw in the Carling Cup this season when Spurs rested several first teamers. Spurs have won six in a row in the Premiership and have only dropped two points since the signings of Scott Parker and Emmanuel Adebayor. Stoke meanwhile have lost four of their last six games and it seems all or nothing for Stoke who have not drawn in eight games so Spurs look a pretty tasty bet here at surprisingly big odds of 11/10.
Monday night’s match on Sky Sports 1 is undoubtedly the most highly anticipated Premiership fixture this week with league leaders Man City travelling to London to take on Chelsea, who despite making it through in the Champions League are still struggling domestically. Chelsea have lost four of their last six games in domestic competitions and still look a shadow of their former selves, the 3-0 win at Newcastle a week ago flattered them hugely. Man City have still only dropped points in two different matches this season and have been very reliable for punters who have backed them. It is therefore surprising to see Chelsea favourites and Man City as big as 2/1 with some bookies and that price has to be viewed as a bit of a gift.
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This weekend there are four live matches from the Premiership with two matches to look forward to on Saturday and one on both Sunday and Monday and with four of the top six in action in these matches and three of the bottom six also involved there are plenty of important matches to feast our eyes on and to bet on this weekend.
The early kick off on Saturday will be shown on Sky Sports 2 and features Newcastle and Chelsea, the fourth and fifth best teams according to the league table currently. That means that Newcastle are overperforming and Chelsea are definitely underperforming and with Newcastle also holding home advantage on Saturday they have a great chance of increasing their advantage over Chelsea to four points. Newcastle are so far unbeaten at home whilst Chelsea have so far won only half their league games on the road. Newcastle should be getting at least a point from this match and with a draw looking as likely as a home win Newcastle should be backed at 4/5 with a one goal head start, meaning anything but a Chelsea win is a winning bet.
The late kick off on Saturday on ESPN will be Aston Villa and Man Utd and both sides will be disappointed with some of their results recently. Man Utd have only managed to win half of their last six league games whilst Aston Villa have lost half of theirs and won just once in that time period. Aston Villa have only lost once at home this season and are likely to set themselves up to be hard to beat whilst Man Utd just don’t seem to be firing on all cylinders. The two most likely winning bets in this match are the draw at 14/5 and Man Utd to win by a one goal margin at 11/4 (Man Utd haven’t won a league match by more than that in two months) and you can pick which you prefer from those two bets.
On Sunday just one game is being televised and that is a potential relegation six pointer being shown on Sky Sports 1. The bookies make Mick McCarthy and Steve Bruce two of the most insecure managers in the league so defeat in this match for either could easily cost them their jobs, especially with both teams hovering of the relegation zone on eleven points. Sunderland have been in slightly better form but have still only picked up five points from six games and this game looks very difficult to call from a result perspective. What does look likely though is a lack of goals, Wolves and Sunderland are both amongst the lowest scorers in the league and under 2.5 goals could be the safest play in this match at 5/6, it could easily end up goalless.
Monday Night Football returns this week with Fulham hosting Liverpool on Sky Sports 1 and this could be a very interesting encounter. Fulham are one of the hardest teams to predict in the league, as shown by their draw at Arsenal last week, whilst Liverpool showed that they are still a match for the best sides by picking up a well deserved point at home to Man City last time out. Fulham have only lost two home games this season and in one of those played very well against Spurs. Liverpool have drawn four of their last six league games and a draw looks very likely in this match and can be backed at 12/5 at the time of writing.
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There are four live matches once again this weekend on Sky Sports and ESPN and they look to contain some of the best Premiership bets of the weekend meaning we can hopefully enjoy the live action with a few winning bets too.
The early kick off on Saturday is Stoke v Blackburn, not a game that will particularly appeal to too many neutrals which makes having a bet on the game all the more important. Traditionally it normally pays to back in form teams rather than the best of a bad bunch but neither side head into this match in good form, Stoke have lost four Premiership games on the bounce, a run that has seen them drop to within three points of the relegation zone but they remain five points above Blackburn who have gone seven league games without winning. Stoke were a little unlucky at home to QPR last week and QPR currently look a better side than Blackburn, who haven’t won away from home all season. Stoke should be backed to win this match, which will be shown on Sky Sports 1, at odds of 4/5.
On Saturday evening the in form Arsenal host the inconsistent Fulham on ESPN. Arsenal have put their bad start behind them to win five games in a row and they now once again look very realistic contenders for the top four. Fulham have largely been playing well recently but haven’t really been getting the results and they are still only sixteenth in the league. Arsenal are 1/2 to win this and probably will but a better bet should be Robin Van Persie to score both first and at anytime at 11/4 and 8/11 respectively. Van Persie has twelve goals in his last seven games for Arsenal in the Premiership and has scored the first goal of the game in his last two appearances. Hopefully these bets will have already paid out by half time.
The first game on Sunday will be Swansea v Aston Villa and Swansea will be keen to get back to winning ways having lost their unbeaten home record last week against Man Utd. There is little doubt that Swansea’s survival hopes revolve around picking up as many home points as possible and they look to have a good chance of beating Aston Villa, who have drawn more away games than any other team so far. With a little more composure from Scott Sinclair Swansea would have got a draw against Man Utd and they should certainly find Aston Villa easier to break down. Swansea are a decent bet at 7/5 to win against Aston Villa, if you fancy a bet with a little less risk then back Swansea in the draw no bet market at 4/6.
The game of the weekend is undoubtedly the second match of the double header on Sky Sports 1 on Sunday, Liverpool v Man City. Liverpool gained a great win at Chelsea last weekend but they face an even tougher task this week hosting the favourites to win the Premiership this season. Liverpool have actually picked up more points on the road this season than they have at Anfield so home advantage might not be that much of an advantage here. Man City have won all but one Premiership games this season and have beaten most teams by a two goal margin or more. Unless Man City suffer a massive Champions League hangover (unlikely given the size and strength of their squad) they look a good bet to defeat Liverpool at 6/4, that could be the biggest price you get on Man City winning a Premiership match for the rest of the season.
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The Premiership is back after a short international break and we welcome its return with four live games spread over Saturday, Sunday and Monday. The live games feature five of the top seven and these games should present us with some good betting opportunities over the coming days.
The first game of the weekend will be shown on Sky Sports 2 early on Saturday afternoon and will feature Norwich and Arsenal. Both sides are in relatively good form with Arsenal winning four league games on the trot to move up to seventh and Norwich now sitting in ninth place after just one loss in four games. There is little doubt that Arsenal are the better team here but there is still a question mark about their away form with one win and one draw from five away games. Norwich have lost just once at home and that was an unlucky one, in general they have looked a strong, well organised side and they can get a draw at Carrow Road on Saturday at odds of 14/5.
The Saturday evening game on ESPN sees the pre season favourites for relegation host the pre season favourites to win the title. The bookies have had to reassess both teams’ targets this season, Swansea are currently mid table and unbeaten at home whilst Man Utd have been solid so far but are already five points off league leaders Man City. This game could easily end up a draw with Man Utd drawing two of their five away matches so far and Swansea winning three and drawing two of their five home games, no opposition player has even scored at the Liberty Stadium yet this season. The draw is as big as 7/2 and although there is a chance Man Utd could edge this one, at the odds it is worth risking the draw with a very close match expected.
The only match on Sunday is live on Sky Sports 1 and is the game of the weekend, Chelsea v Liverpool. These teams have played out some great games in recent years, both in the Premiership and the Champions League, and Liverpool have managed to win two of the last three league meetings at Stamford Bridge 1-0, another 1-0 win for Liverpool is 12/1 at the time of writing. Neither side go into this game in great form, Liverpool have won just one of their last four league games whilst Chelsea have won just two of them. Chelsea do have home advantage though and at home Chelsea have won four of five games this season. Meanwhile Liverpool have already lost away from home twice this season, against teams lower than Chelsea in the Premiership, so Chelsea should be able to edge this one at 5/6.
The Monday Night Football on Sky Sports 1 is Tottenham v Aston Villa and this game could feature the banker of the weekend. Spurs have been in great form since the transfer window shut and have gained as many points as Man City in that time period, only Newcastle have avoided defeat against Spurs since Scott Parker and Emmanuel Adebayor arrived at the club and Spurs have won all their home games this season apart from the visit of Man City. Despite all this Spurs are available at a decent looking 4/7 at the time of writing. Perhaps the bookies are taking into account the fact that Aston Villa draw a lot on the road (4 out of 5) but those draws were in easier games than Spurs away and the fact remains Villa have not won away from home this season so Spurs should win comfortably in this one.
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England will be in action twice over the next week, both times at Wembley in friendly action with Spain the very tough opponents on Saturday night and Sweden coming to visit on Tuesday. After these games England fans will have a much better idea about what they can expect at Euro 2012 having played the favourites and one of the outsiders to win the tournament next summer.
The World Champions Spain face England for the first time since a 2-0 win in Spain in 2009 and England will be hoping that home advantage can help turn the tables a little. Spain are the favourites to win Euro 2012
and can be backed at 11/4, that makes them a lot shorter than England’s odds of 12/1 to win the Euros, so the bookies will clearly be favouring Spain in this match even though England have home advantage. Spain can be backed at 20/21 to win at Wembley on Saturday night with the draw deemed a more likely result than a home win, the draw can be backed at 5/2 and England are available at 10/3.
Spain look a pretty decent price considering they have just won every game in their Euro 2012 qualifying group and absolutely dominated England in the last match between these sides a couple of years ago. Friendlies are not always games punters want to have big bets in as they don’t know how seriously the teams and players will take it but it has to be said there is a lot more depth of talent in the Spain squad than the England squad so even if Spain give some of their fringe players a chance to impress you’d still expect Spain to win this. England’s home advantage might not count for much here, France came to Wembley and beat a very poor England side 2-1 a year ago and Spain are certainly better than France.
England will play again three days later, at Wembley again, this time against possible Euro 2012 opponents Sweden. Sweden are as big as 80/1 to win Euro 2012 so it is no surprise that England are expected to win this game, at the time of writing England can be backed to beat Sweden at odds of 11/13 which look pretty fair. Sweden can be backed at 37/13 and the draw is 28/11. It would be a surprise if Sweden had enough to trouble England in that match and 2-0 looks a decent bet at around 6/1 and if England don’t beat the 80/1 shots for Euro 2012 then it means expectations will certainly drop for next summer.
Wayne Rooney’s sending off against Montenegro means he will miss the group stage at Euro 2012, having to make do for three games without the star player has seen England’s odds go from 10/1 to 12/1 despite qualification now being guaranteed. To be fair, if England can’t qualify from their group without Wayne Rooney they are not going to be able to win against better teams in the semi finals and the final with Rooney so 12/1 could be considered good value, especially as England’s price always seems to contract around a month before these big tournaments begin. The most likely winners of Euro 2012 might be Germany though, they won all ten qualifying games and have continued to play how they did at the World Cup, with great attacking swagger, and 4/1 should prove decent value on the Germans at Euro 2012.
Click here for more in depth analysis of the Euro 2012 betting opportunities.
